Tag Archives: Mayor of London

How Newham voted (part 2)

26 May

A bit more on how Newham voted in the London mayoral election.

Turnout

Overall turnout was 38.6%, which is more or less par for local elections in the borough. The best turnout was among the 31,377 postal voters; 20,519 sent back their ballot (65.4%).

Highest on-the-day turnout was in Green Street East, with 41.2%. And the lowest was Beckon, where barely more than a quarter of voters (25.7%) took the trouble to cast a ballot.

First preferences

Labour took 50% or more of the vote in 11 out of 20 wards: Boleyn, East Ham Central, East Ham North, Forest Gate South, both Green Street wards, Little Ilford, Manor Park, Plaistow North, Stratford and Wall End. My own ward, Forest Gate North, fractionally missed the cut; Sadiq Khan scored 49.98% of first preferences

The Tories’ best result was in Custom House, where they actually “won” – 38.6% to 36.3%. They got 30% or more in five other wards: Beckton, both Canning Towns, East Ham South and Plaistow South.

The Greens best results were in Forest Gate North and Stratford & New Town wards, where they got 10.5%. They got 8.3% in Royal Docks.

Young YouTuber Niko Omilana came fourth across Newham with 4.2% of the vote. He scored especially well (6% or more) in East Ham North and the two Green Street wards.

The Liberal Democrats will probably be disappointed, coming fifth on first preferences with just 2.5%. They failed to hit 5% anywhere, including among postal voters. And, similar to the Greens, their best results were in Stratford & New Town and Royal Docks, where they got 4.6%. 

Second preferences

One explanation advanced for Sadiq Khan’s relatively poor showing, at least compared to the wider Labour vote, is that he was running against 19 opponents and the supplementary vote system allowed electors the option to register a protest vote or to vote for their genuinely preferred candidate, confident that their second preference would end up keeping the Tories out. And the data does support that, to some extent. 

Khan took 17,329 second preferences (25.4%), comfortably ahead of Sian Berry of the Greens (10,635, 15.6%) and Shaun Bailey (9,470, 13.9%). No-one else got above 8%.

11,972 voters gave no second preference.

Rejected votes

One of the more disappointing outcomes of this election was the high number of rejected votes, the vast majority of which were ‘over votes’ (voting for too many candidates) caused by really bad design of the ballot paper, There’s a great piece on this on the On London website.

Of the 87,189 votes cast in Newham a massive 5,533 were rejected because voters were confused by the ballot paper. 

Green Street East saw 11.5% of votes rejected for over-voting; Wall End and East Ham Central also had 10% or more of their votes discounted for the same reason. This is an absolute scandal.

London Elects – how Newham voted

24 May

The London Elects website has released results from the recent mayoral and London Assembly at ward level, which means we can see how Newham voted.

Mayor of London

Candidate Party Votes Percent
Sadiq KHAN Labour Party 39,732 49.4%
Shaun BAILEY Conservative Party 21,327 26.5%
Sian BERRY Green Party 4,455 5.5%
Niko OMILANA Independent 3,374 4.2%
Luisa PORRITT Liberal Democrats 2,043 2.5%
Brian ROSE London Real Party 1,752 2.2%
Richard HEWISON Rejoin EU 1,099 1.4%
Piers CORBYN Let London Live 1,037 1.3%
Laurence FOX The Reclaim Party 892 1.1%
Count BINFACE Count Binface for Mayor of London 634 0.8%
Farah LONDON Independent 632 0.8%
Vanessa HUDSON Animal Welfare Party 585 0.7%
Mandu REID Women’s Equality Party 485 0.6%
Peter GAMMONS UKIP 473 0.6%
Nims OBUNGE Independent 396 0.5%
Kam BALAYEV Renew 383 0.5%
Steve KELLEHER Social Democratic Party 325 0.4%
David KURTEN Heritage Party 292 0.4%
Max FOSH Independent 231 0.3%
Valerie BROWN The Burning Pink Party 226 0.3%

 

London Assembly – City & East

Candidate Party Votes Percent
Unmesh DESAI Labour Party 51,329 60.1%
Nick Vandyke Conservative Party 17,219 20.2%
Tim Kiely Green Party 8,666 10.1%
Richard Flowers Liberal Democrats 4,810 5.6%
David Bull Reform UK 3,417 4.0%

 

London Assembly – list

Party Votes Percent
Labour Party 47,142 55.8%
Conservatives 16,859 20.0%
Green Party 6,421 7.6%
Liberal Democrats 2,967 3.5%
Rejoin EU 1,927 2.3%
Christian Peoples Alliance 1,480 1.8%
Animal Welfare Party – People, Animals, Environment 1,361 1.6%
Vote Women’s Equality Party on orange 1,180 1.4%
London Real Party 1,018 1.2%
ReformUK – London Deserves Better 826 1.0%
Let London Live 750 0.9%
UKIP 723 0.9%
Communist Party of Britain 405 0.5%
Heritage Party – Free Speech and Liberty 347 0.4%
Trade Union and Socialist Coalition 327 0.4%
Social Democratic Party 293 0.3%
Londependence 274 0.3%
National Liberal Party – Self determination for all! 178 0.2%

 

There are three things that jump out from these results.

Firstly, that Sadiq Khan substantially under-performed compared to his party on both the London-wide list and City & East ballot. Unmesh Desai has the advantage of being local, but that alone doesn’t explain an almost 12,000 vote gap. The answer is the hugely unpopular Silvertown Tunnel. Khan took the decision to go ahead and build it and it has cost him. I know many local Labour activists who sat on their hands rather than knock doors or deliver leaflets for him. Some may not even have voted him (voting for another party is an expulsion-level offence in the party rulebook, so they likely stayed at home or filed a blank ballot).

Second, that the Conservatives over-performed compared to their usual Newham vote share, taking 20% in both Assembly elections and 26% in the mayoral contest. They took 12% against Rokhsana Fiaz in 2018 and around 15% across the two local seats in the 2019 general election. 

Thirdly, the Green Party is clearly the third party in Newham, getting double the votes of the Liberal Democrats.

I’ll post something on voting in each of the 20 local wards later in the week.

London Elects 2016 – Forest Gate results

16 May

The London Elects website has released the results of the recent Mayoral and London Assembly elections (.xlsx) broken down to borough and ward level.

Below are the results for the two Forest Gate wards*. I posted the votes cast in Newham as a whole separately.

Mayor of London

Forest Gate North

Candidate Party 1st Prefs 2nd Prefs
Sian Rebecca Berry Green Party 272 719
David Furness British National Party 16 12
George Galloway Respect (George Galloway) 79 332
Paul Golding Britain First 35 64
Zac Goldsmith Conservative Party 507 247
Lee Harris Cannabis is Safer than Alcohol 36 111
Sadiq Aman Khan Labour Party 2238 642
Ankit Love One Love Party 5 41
Caroline Valerie Pidgeon London Liberal Democrats 95 246
Sophie Walker Women’s Equality Party 65 277
Peter Robin Whittle UK Independence Party (UKIP) 79 143
Prince Zylinski Independent 15 27

Forest Gate South

Candidate Party 1st Prefs 2nd Prefs
Sian Rebecca Berry Green Party 209 531
David Furness British National Party 20 35
George Galloway Respect (George Galloway) 86 449
Paul Golding Britain First 33 50
Zac Goldsmith Conservative Party 497 287
Lee Harris Cannabis is Safer than Alcohol 36 87
Sadiq Aman Khan Labour Party 2359 666
Ankit Love One Love Party 13 39
Caroline Valerie Pidgeon London Liberal Democrats 85 240
Sophie Walker Women’s Equality Party 69 248
Peter Robin Whittle UK Independence Party (UKIP) 50 127
Prince Zylinski Independent 23 27

 

London-wide member

Forest Gate North

Party Votes
Animal Welfare Party 34
Britain First – Putting British people first 36
British National Party 25
Caroline Pidgeon’s London Liberal Democrats 129
Christian Peoples Alliance 55
Conservative Party 312
Green Party – “vote Green on orange” 369
Labour Party 2138
Respect (George Galloway) 91
The House Party – Homes for Londoners 19
UK Independence Party (UKIP) 144
Women’s Equality Party 133

Forest Gate South

Party Votes
Animal Welfare Party 27
Britain First – Putting British people first 32
British National Party 16
Caroline Pidgeon’s London Liberal Democrats 106
Christian Peoples Alliance 59
Conservative Party 419
Green Party – “vote Green on orange” 304
Labour Party 2214
Respect (George Galloway) 122
The House Party – Homes for Londoners 16
UK Independence Party (UKIP) 75
Women’s Equality Party 117

 

City & East constituency member

Forest Gate North

Candidate Party Votes
Elaine Sheila Bagshaw London Liberal Democrats 149
Christopher James Chapman Conservative Party 351
Rachel Collinson Green Party 497
Unmesh Desai Labour Party 2156
Aaron Anthony Jose Hasan D’Souza All People’s Party 18
Amina May Kay Gichinga Take Back the City 38
Peter James Harris UK Independence Party (UKIP) 177
Rayne Mickail Respect (George Galloway) 90

Forest Gate South

Candidate Party Votes
Elaine Sheila Bagshaw London Liberal Democrats 144
Christopher James Chapman Conservative Party 423
Rachel Collinson Green Party 373
Unmesh Desai Labour Party 2264
Aaron Anthony Jose Hasan D’Souza All People’s Party 20
Amina May Kay Gichinga Take Back the City 55
Peter James Harris UK Independence Party (UKIP) 124
Rayne Mickail Respect (George Galloway) 110

 

* excludes postal votes, which London Elects reports as a single block not broken out by ward.

London Elects 2016 – Newham results

16 May

The London Elects website has released the results of the recent Mayoral and London Assembly elections (.xlsx) broken down to borough and ward level.

Below are the results for Newham as a whole. I’ll post the votes cast in Forest Gate North and Forest Gate South separately.

There are very few surprises. Labour won by a country-mile, with the Tories a distant second. The Greens are clearly the borough’s third party. The Liberal Democrats will probably be disappointed to finish some way behind UKIP.

Mayor of London

Candidate Party 1st Prefs 2nd Prefs
Sian Rebecca Berry Green Party 3637 10321
David Furness British National Party 596 1118
George Galloway Respect (George Galloway) 2204 9509
Paul Golding Britain First 1075 1876
Zac Goldsmith Conservative Party 14165 8374
Lee Harris Cannabis is Safer than Alcohol 731 2016
Sadiq Aman Khan Labour Party 53094 16212
Ankit Love One Love Party 230 996
Caroline Valerie Pidgeon London Liberal Democrats 1863 5843
Sophie Walker Women’s Equality Party 1284 5171
Peter Robin Whittle UK Independence Party (UKIP) 2080 3675
Prince Zylinski Independent 340 716

 

London-wide member

Party Votes
Animal Welfare Party 658
Britain First – Putting British people first 1169
British National Party 595
Caroline Pidgeon’s London Liberal Democrats 2377
Christian Peoples Alliance 1365
Conservative Party 10529
Green Party – “vote Green on orange” 4472
Labour Party 52779
Respect (George Galloway) 2787
The House Party – Homes for Londoners 348
UK Independence Party (UKIP) 3303
Women’s Equality Party 1890

 

City & East constituency member

Candidate Party Votes
Elaine Sheila Bagshaw London Liberal Democrats 3264
Christopher James Chapman Conservative Party 11192
Rachel Collinson Green Party 6017
Unmesh Desai Labour Party 53419
Aaron Anthony Jose Hasan D’Souza All People’s Party 478
Amina May Kay Gichinga Take Back the City 604
Peter James Harris UK Independence Party (UKIP) 4414
Rayne Mickail Respect (George Galloway) 2887

 

London elects – your candidates

1 Apr

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The Mayor of London and the London Assembly Member candidates have been officially announced.

Mayor of London

  • BERRY, Sian Rebecca – Green Party
  • FURNESS, David – British National Party
  • GALLOWAY, George – Respect (George Galloway)
  • GOLDING, Paul – Britain First – Putting British people first
  • GOLDSMITH, Zac – The Conservative Party Candidate
  • HARRIS, Lee Eli – Cannabis is Safer Than Alcohol
  • KHAN, Sadiq Aman – Labour Party
  • LOVE, Ankit – One Love Party
  • PIDGEON, Caroline Valerie – London Liberal Democrats
  • WALKER, Sophie – Women’s Equality Party
  • WHITTLE, Peter Robin – UK Independence Party (UKIP)
  • ZYLINSKI, Prince – Independent

 

City & East constituency

  • BAGSHAW, Elaine Sheila – London Liberal Democrats
  • CHAPMAN, Christopher James – The Conservative Party Candidate
  • COLLINSON, Rachel – Green Party
  • D’SOUZA, Aaron Anthony Jose Hasan – All People’s Party
  • DESAI, Unmesh – Labour Party
  • GICHINGA, Amina May Kay – Take Back the City
  • HARRIS, Peter James – UK Independence Party (UKIP)
  • MICKAIL, Rayne – Respect (George Galloway)

 

Londonwide Assembly members

  • Animal Welfare Party
  • Britain First – Putting British People First
  • British National Party
  • Caroline Pidgeon’s London Liberal Democrats
  • Christian People’s Alliance
  • Conservative Party
  • Green Party
  • Labour Party
  • Respect Party (George Galloway)
  • The House Party – Homes for Londoners
  • UK Independence Party (UKIP)
  • Women’s Equality Party

The candidates on each party list can be found on the London Elects website.